Zotsatira za International Tinplate Trade kuchokera ku Tariff Trade War's pakati pa USA ndi China

▶ Kuyambira mchaka cha 2018 mpaka pa Epulo 26, 2025, nkhondo ya Tariff Trade Wars pakati pa USA ndi China yakhudza kwambiri malonda padziko lonse lapansi, makamaka m'makampani a tinplate.

▶ Monga chinsalu chokutidwa ndi malata chomwe chimagwiritsidwa ntchito makamaka popanga zitini, Tinplate yagwidwa ndi kuphana kwa mitengo yamitengo komanso kubwezera.

▶ Pano tikukamba za momwe malonda a tinplate amakhudzira mayiko, ndipo tiyang'ana kwambiri kumwera chakum'mawa kwa Asia, potengera zomwe zachitika posachedwa pazachuma komanso malonda.

Mbiri ya Nkhondo Yamalonda

Nkhondo yamalonda idayambika pomwe dziko la US likukhazikitsa mitengo yamitengo pazachuma zaku China, kukamba zamalonda osalungama komanso kuba zinthu zanzeru.

Pofika chaka cha 2025, olamulira a Purezidenti Donald Trump adakweza mitengo yamitengo, mpaka kufika 145% pamitengo yazinthu zaku China.

China idabwezeranso ndalama zogulira kunja kwa USA, zomwe zimabweretsa kuchepa kwa malonda pakati pawo, ndipo zimatengera 3% ya malonda apadziko lonse US - China ikukula nkhondo yamalonda;

Kukweraku kwasokoneza maunyolo apadziko lonse lapansi, zomwe zikukhudza mafakitale ngati tinplate.

Mitengo yaku USA pa Tinplate yaku China

Tikuchita ndi kulongedza, kotero timayang'ana kwambiri pa tinplate, dipatimenti ya Zamalonda ku US idakhazikitsa ntchito zoletsa kutaya zinthu za malata kuchokera ku China, zokwera kwambiri pa 122.5% pazogulitsa kunja, kuphatikiza kuchokera kwa wopanga wamkulu Baoshan Iron ndi Steel US kuti akhazikitse msonkho pazitsulo za malata kuchokera ku Canada, China, Germany.

Izi zidayamba kugwira ntchito kuyambira Ogasiti 2023, ndipo zipitilira mpaka 2025. Tikukhulupirira kuti tinplate yaku China yayamba kuchepa kwambiri pamsika waku US, zomwe zikupangitsa ogula kufunafuna njira zina ndikusokoneza kayendetsedwe kazamalonda.

Yankho Lobwezera la China

Kuyankha kwa China kunaphatikizanso kuchuluka kwa mitengo yamitengo ya zinthu zaku US, zomwe zidafika pa 125% pofika Epulo 2025, zomwe zikuwonetsa kutha kwa njira za tit-for-tat.

China ikudula mitengo ya 125% pa katundu wa US pakukwera kwaposachedwa kwa malonda a US-China.

Kubwezera kumeneku kwasokoneza kwambiri malonda pakati pawo, kumachepetsa katundu wa US kupita ku China ndipo kudzakhudza kusintha kwa malonda a tinplate padziko lonse, ndipo onse a China ndi United States adzayenera kusintha kuti apeze ndalama zokwera mtengo ndi kufunafuna mabwenzi atsopano kuchokera kumadera ena ndi mayiko ena.

Zotsatira za International Tinplate Trade

Nkhondo yamalonda yadzetsa kukonzanso kayendedwe ka malonda a tinplate.

Ndi kutumizidwa kwa China kupita ku US kwaletsedwa, madera ena, kuphatikiza Southeast Asia, awona mwayi wosintha.

Nkhondo yamalonda yapangitsanso opanga padziko lonse lapansi kuti asinthe mitundu yosiyanasiyana: Maiko ngati Vietnam ndi Malaysia adzakopa ndalama zopanga, komanso timayang'ana kwambiri kupanga ma tinplate.

Chifukwa chiyani? mitengo ikakwera, kutumiza kapena kusamukira kumizinda ikuluikulu kudzakonza maziko ake opangira malo atsopano, ndipo kum'mwera chakum'mawa kwa Asia kudzakhala chisankho chabwino, komwe mtengo wantchito ndi wotsika, magalimoto osavuta, komanso mtengo wotsika wamalonda.

Southeast Asia: Mwayi ndi Zovuta

Southeast Asia imadziwika kuti ndi dera lovuta kwambiri pazamalonda la tinplate.

Maiko monga Vietnam, Malaysia, ndi Thailand apindula ndi nkhondo yamalonda.

Pamene opanga akusintha ndikubwezeretsanso malo azomera kuti apewe mitengo ya US pazinthu zaku China.

Mwachitsanzo, Vietnam yawona kuwonjezeka kwa kupanga, makampani aukadaulo omwe akuyenda kumeneko, akhudza mafakitale okhudzana ndi tinplate.

Kupanga kwa Vietnam kumagwidwa munkhondo yamalonda yaku US-China. Malaysia yawonanso kukula kwa zotumiza kunja kwa semiconductor, zomwe zitha kuthandizira mosadukiza kufunikira kwa tinplate pakunyamula nkhondo yaku China-United States.
Komabe, mavuto amakumana nawo.

Dziko la US lakhazikitsa mitengo yamitengo pa katundu wosiyanasiyana waku Southeast Asia, monga ma solar, mitengo yofikira pa 3,521% pa katundu wochokera ku Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, ndi Vietnam. pobwera ku solar, izi zikuwonetsa kutetezedwa kokulirapo komwe kumatha kupitilirabe ngati zotumiza kunja ku US zikuwonjezeka. Kumbali ina, kum'mwera chakum'mawa kwa Asia kuli pachiwopsezo chakusefukira ndi katundu waku China, pomwe China ikufuna kuthana ndi kutayika kwa msika waku US polimbitsa maubwenzi achigawo, zomwe zidzakulitsa mpikisano kwa opanga ma tinplate am'deralo. Mitengo ya Trump idzakankhira Southeast Asia movutikira pafupi ndi China.

Zokhudza Zachuma ndi Kusokoneza Malonda

Nkhondo yamalonda yadzetsa mavuto azamalonda, pomwe mayiko akumwera chakum'mawa kwa Asia akupindula ndi kuchuluka kwa zotumiza kunja ku US ndi China kuti akwaniritse mipata yomwe idasiyidwa ndi kuchepetsedwa kwa malonda apakati.

Vietnam ndiyomwe idapindula kwambiri, ndikuwonjezeka kwa 15% kwa katundu wotumizidwa ku US mu 2024, ndi bcz ya masinthidwe opanga Momwe Nkhondo Yamalonda ya US-China Idakhudzira Padziko Lonse Lapansi. Malaysia ndi Thailand awonanso zopindulitsa, ndi zotumiza kunja kwa semiconductor ndi magalimoto zikukwera.

Komabe, IMF inachenjeza za kuchepa kwa 0.5% GDP m'misika yomwe ikubwera chifukwa cha kusokonezeka kwa malonda, kuwonetsa chiopsezo cha Southeast Asia US - China ikukula nkhondo yamalonda; zotsatira ku Southeast Asia.

Tsatanetsatane wa Impact pa Tinplate Viwanda

Zambiri pazamalonda a tinplate ku Southeast Asia ndizochepa, zomwe zikuchitika zikuwonetsa kuchulukitsidwa kwa kupanga ndi malonda.

Nkhondo yamalonda pakati pa China ndi USA ikhoza kusamutsira kupanga ma tinplate ku Southeast Asia, kutengera ndalama zotsika komanso kuyandikira misika ina.

Mwachitsanzo, makampani aku China omwe ali ndi mafakitale oyendera dzuwa omwe ali ndi mafakitale m'derali atha kukulitsa njira zofananirako kuti achepetseko. Komabe, opanga am'deralo atha kukumana ndi mpikisano kuchokera kuzinthu zonse zaku China komanso mitengo yamitengo yaku US, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zovuta.

 

Mayankho Achigawo ndi Future Outlook

Mayiko akumwera chakum'mawa kwa Asia akuyankha polimbikitsa mgwirizano pakati pa zigawo, monga momwe ASEAN akuyesera kukweza mgwirizano wamalonda US - China idzayankha nkhondo yamalonda ndipo idzakhudza Southeast Asia.

Ulendo wa Purezidenti wa China ku Vietnam, Malaysia, ndi Cambodia mu Epulo 2025 cholinga chake chinali kulimbikitsa mgwirizano wachigawo, zomwe zitha kukulitsa malonda a Xi's Visit Highlights Dilemma for Southeast Asia in US-China Trade War. Komabe, tsogolo la derali likudalira kuyendetsa mitengo yamtengo wapatali ya US ndi kusunga bata pachuma pakati pa kusatsimikizika kwadziko lonse.

Dziko	Mwayi	Zovuta
Vietnam	Kuwonjezeka kwa kupanga, kukula kwa kunja	Ndalama zomwe zingatheke ku US, mpikisano
Malaysia	Kukwera kwa Semiconductor kutumiza kunja, kusiyanasiyana	Mitengo yaku US, katundu waku China kusefukira
Thailand	Kusintha kwa kupanga, malonda achigawo	Kuopsa kwa mitengo ya US, kukakamizidwa kwachuma
Cambodia	Malo opanga omwe akubwera	Misonkho yayikulu yaku US (mwachitsanzo, solar, 3,521%)